Final Score: Pirates 7 - Cubs 5
Saturday, September 3, 2011 at 1:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
63-75 Rating 1423
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.6
Cubs
59-79 Rating 1462
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Cubs
All-time wins 376 324
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.7 4.3
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Cubs
Games played 138 138
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.8
Win percentage 46% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 46%