Final Score: Red Sox 10 - Blue Jays 11
Wednesday, September 7, 2011 at 7:07 PM ET

Red Sox @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
85-56 Rating 1572
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Blue Jays
70-72 Rating 1513
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
All-time wins 280 219
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.1 4.6
Last meeting 14 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
Games played 141 142
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.7
Win percentage 60% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 49%