Final Score: Cubs 12 - Reds 8
Monday, September 12, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Cubs @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
64-82 Rating 1466
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.5
Reds
71-75 Rating 1490
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Reds
All-time wins 264 292
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.6
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Reds
Games played 146 146
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.4
Win percentage 44% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 52%