Final Score: Nationals 6 - Phillies 1
Thursday, September 22, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
75-79 Rating 1462
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
33%
67%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.4
Phillies
98-57 Rating 1580
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 342 385
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 154 155
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.3
Win percentage 49% 63%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 65%