Final Score: Phillies 1 - Astros 0
Wednesday, September 14, 2011 at 2:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
94-51 Rating 1590
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
66%
34%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
Astros
51-97 Rating 1421
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Astros
All-time wins 205 233
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.3
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Astros
Games played 145 148
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.3 4.9
Win percentage 65% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 38%