Final Score: Astros 3 - Cubs 4
Friday, September 16, 2011 at 2:20 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
51-98 Rating 1419
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.7
Cubs
65-85 Rating 1463
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 300 261
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 149 150
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.8
Win percentage 34% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 47%