Final Score: Astros 1 - Cubs 2
Saturday, September 17, 2011 at 1:05 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
51-99 Rating 1418
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.8
Cubs
66-85 Rating 1465
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 300 262
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 150 151
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.8
Win percentage 34% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 47%