Final Score: Astros 3 - Cubs 2
Sunday, September 18, 2011 at 2:20 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
51-100 Rating 1416
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.8
Cubs
67-85 Rating 1467
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 300 263
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 151 152
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.8
Win percentage 34% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 48%