Final Score: Phillies 1 - Astros 5
Monday, September 12, 2011 at 8:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
94-49 Rating 1596
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
67%
33%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.6
Astros
49-97 Rating 1415
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Astros
All-time wins 205 231
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.3
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Astros
Games played 143 146
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.2 4.9
Win percentage 66% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 37%