Final Score: Phillies 4 - Marlins 5
Sunday, September 4, 2011 at 1:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
88-47 Rating 1590
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Marlins
61-77 Rating 1469
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 164 136
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.3 4.6
Last meeting 4 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 135 138
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.3 4.5
Win percentage 65% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 63% 38%