Final Score: Phillies 3 - Reds 2
Monday, August 29, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
83-46 Rating 1584
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Reds
67-66 Rating 1497
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Reds
All-time wins 195 244
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.6
Last meeting 10 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Reds
Games played 129 133
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.7
Avg runs conceded 3.3 4.3
Win percentage 64% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 55%