Final Score: Marlins 6 - Phillies 5
Friday, August 26, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
58-72 Rating 1470
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
33%
67%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.4
Phillies
83-45 Rating 1587
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 134 163
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.6 5.3
Last meeting 7 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 130 128
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.5 3.3
Win percentage 45% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 69%