Final Score: Marlins 3 - Padres 4
Sunday, August 21, 2011 at 4:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
57-69 Rating 1474
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.3
Padres
58-70 Rating 1482
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Padres
All-time wins 68 76
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 1 14

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Padres
Games played 126 128
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.5 3.8
Win percentage 45% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 42%