Final Score: Astros 4 - Pirates 5
Wednesday, September 7, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
48-94 Rating 1418
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.3
Pirates
65-77 Rating 1423
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 292 264
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.0
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 142 142
Avg runs scored 3.8 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.2
Win percentage 34% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 45%