Final Score: Cubs 2 - Phillies 5
Saturday, April 28, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
7-13 Rating 1460
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.3
Phillies
9-11 Rating 1558
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Phillies
All-time wins 271 302
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.7
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Phillies
Games played 20 20
Avg runs scored 3.5 3.2
Avg runs conceded 4.5 3.4
Win percentage 35% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 43%