Final Score: Marlins 9 - Padres 8
Friday, May 4, 2012 at 10:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
11-14 Rating 1469
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.2
Padres
9-17 Rating 1463
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Padres
All-time wins 68 77
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Padres
Games played 25 26
Avg runs scored 3.2 3.2
Avg runs conceded 3.7 3.8
Win percentage 44% 35%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 41%