Final Score: Marlins 4 - Padres 1
Saturday, May 5, 2012 at 8:35 PM ET

Marlins @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
12-14 Rating 1471
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.1
Padres
9-18 Rating 1461
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Padres
All-time wins 69 77
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 9 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Padres
Games played 26 27
Avg runs scored 3.5 3.3
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.0
Win percentage 46% 33%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 39%