Final Score: Phillies 1 - Nationals 7
Saturday, May 5, 2012 at 1:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
13-14 Rating 1558
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Nationals
17-9 Rating 1488
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 385 344
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 27 26
Avg runs scored 3.7 3.3
Avg runs conceded 3.7 2.8
Win percentage 48% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 79%