Final Score: Mets 9 - Nationals 5
Thursday, July 19, 2012 at 12:35 PM ET

Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
46-45 Rating 1488
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.4
Nationals
53-36 Rating 1509
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 372 360
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.1 4.0
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 91 89
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.4
Win percentage 51% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 62%