Final Score: Blue Jays 15 - Red Sox 7
Sunday, July 22, 2012 at 1:35 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
47-47 Rating 1514
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Red Sox
48-47 Rating 1531
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
All-time wins 228 286
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 5.1
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
Games played 94 95
Avg runs scored 4.9 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.4
Win percentage 50% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 48%