Final Score: Padres 2 - Marlins 4
Saturday, July 28, 2012 at 7:10 PM ET

Padres @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
43-58 Rating 1462
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.3
Marlins
45-54 Rating 1466
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Marlins
All-time wins 78 71
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 7 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Marlins
Games played 101 99
Avg runs scored 3.7 3.7
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.5
Win percentage 43% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 48%