Final Score: Astros 2 - Padres 8
Tuesday, July 17, 2012 at 10:05 PM ET

Astros @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
34-56 Rating 1411
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.7
Padres
36-55 Rating 1454
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Padres
All-time wins 310 282
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 3.9
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Padres
Games played 90 91
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.5
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.3
Win percentage 38% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 22% 38%