Final Score: Astros 7 - Pirates 8
Tuesday, July 3, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
32-48 Rating 1419
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.7
Pirates
43-36 Rating 1464
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 293 268
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.0
Last meeting 2 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 80 79
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.8 3.7
Win percentage 40% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 24% 65%