Final Score: Pirates 11 - Phillies 7
Wednesday, June 27, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
38-35 Rating 1454
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.1
Phillies
36-40 Rating 1537
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 296 281
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 73 76
Avg runs scored 3.5 4.3
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.4
Win percentage 52% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 44%