Final Score: Pirates 5 - Phillies 4
Thursday, June 28, 2012 at 1:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
39-35 Rating 1457
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Phillies
36-41 Rating 1535
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 297 281
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 11 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 74 77
Avg runs scored 3.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.5
Win percentage 53% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 42%