Final Score: Astros 2 - Pirates 11
Monday, July 2, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
32-47 Rating 1421
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.7
Pirates
42-36 Rating 1463
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 293 267
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.0
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 79 78
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.7 3.7
Win percentage 41% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 24% 64%