Final Score: Pirates 4 - Cardinals 5
Sunday, July 1, 2012 at 2:15 PM ET

Pirates @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
42-35 Rating 1464
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.8
Cardinals
40-38 Rating 1520
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Cardinals
All-time wins 334 375
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Cardinals
Games played 77 78
Avg runs scored 3.8 5.0
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.3
Win percentage 55% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 49%