Final Score: Red Sox 7 - Rays 5
Tuesday, September 18, 2012 at 7:10 PM ET

Red Sox @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
67-81 Rating 1502
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.7
Rays
78-69 Rating 1544
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Rays
All-time wins 152 109
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.3 4.3
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Rays
Games played 148 147
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.8 3.7
Win percentage 45% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 54%