Final Score: Cardinals 5 - Cubs 4
Saturday, September 22, 2012 at 1:05 PM ET

Cardinals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
80-71 Rating 1518
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.6
Cubs
59-92 Rating 1435
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Cubs
All-time wins 361 356
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Cubs
Games played 151 151
Avg runs scored 4.7 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.6
Win percentage 53% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 49%