Final Score: Cardinals 4 - Cubs 5
Friday, September 21, 2012 at 2:20 PM ET

Cardinals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
80-70 Rating 1520
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.7
Cubs
58-92 Rating 1433
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Cubs
All-time wins 361 355
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Cubs
Games played 150 150
Avg runs scored 4.7 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.6
Win percentage 53% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 48%