Final Score: Cubs 4 - Astros 1
Monday, September 10, 2012 at 8:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
54-86 Rating 1437
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Astros
44-96 Rating 1378
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Astros
All-time wins 268 305
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 7 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Astros
Games played 140 140
Avg runs scored 3.8 3.6
Avg runs conceded 4.7 5.1
Win percentage 39% 31%
Away win % / Home win % 28% 41%