Final Score: Cubs 4 - Pirates 3
Saturday, September 8, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
52-86 Rating 1432
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.5
Pirates
72-65 Rating 1464
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Pirates
All-time wins 329 383
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.7
Last meeting 12 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Pirates
Games played 138 137
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.1
Win percentage 38% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 26% 60%