Final Score: Astros 2 - Pirates 6
Tuesday, September 4, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
42-93 Rating 1377
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.2
Pirates
70-64 Rating 1463
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 295 274
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 135 134
Avg runs scored 3.6 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.1
Win percentage 31% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 21% 60%