Final Score: Astros 5 - Pirates 1
Monday, September 3, 2012 at 1:35 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
41-93 Rating 1374
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.2
Pirates
70-63 Rating 1466
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 294 274
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 9 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 134 133
Avg runs scored 3.6 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.1
Win percentage 31% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 20% 61%