Final Score: Astros 3 - Pirates 6
Wednesday, September 5, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
42-94 Rating 1375
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.2
Pirates
71-64 Rating 1465
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 295 275
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 136 135
Avg runs scored 3.6 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.1
Win percentage 31% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 21% 60%