Final Score: Phillies 9 - Marlins 5
Saturday, September 29, 2012 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
78-79 Rating 1531
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Marlins
67-90 Rating 1452
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 174 145
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.1 4.5
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 157 157
Avg runs scored 4.2 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.5
Win percentage 50% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 47%