Final Score: Phillies 16 - Mets 1
Thursday, September 20, 2012 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
75-74 Rating 1536
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Mets
66-82 Rating 1461
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Mets
All-time wins 380 366
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.2
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Mets
Games played 149 148
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.4
Win percentage 50% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 41%