Final Score: Phillies 6 - Astros 7
Sunday, September 16, 2012 at 2:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
73-73 Rating 1535
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
64%
36%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.4
Astros
47-99 Rating 1380
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Astros
All-time wins 209 235
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.3
Last meeting 0 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Astros
Games played 146 146
Avg runs scored 4.2 3.6
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.0
Win percentage 50% 32%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 42%