Final Score: Yankees 9 - Blue Jays 6
Sunday, September 30, 2012 at 1:07 PM ET

Yankees @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
91-67 Rating 1571
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.6
Blue Jays
70-88 Rating 1488
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Blue Jays
All-time wins 288 229
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.9 4.5
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Blue Jays
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.8
Win percentage 58% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 49%