Final Score: Padres 2 - Red Sox 8
Thursday, July 4, 2013 at 1:35 PM ET

Padres @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
40-45 Rating 1480
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.7
Red Sox
52-34 Rating 1523
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Red Sox
All-time wins 5 9
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.0 3.9
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Red Sox
Games played 85 86
Avg runs scored 4.0 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.1
Win percentage 47% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 65%