Final Score: Phillies 4 - Padres 5
Tuesday, September 16, 2014 at 10:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
69-81 Rating 1477
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.2
Padres
69-80 Rating 1475
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 253 202
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 0 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 150 149
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.2
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.6
Win percentage 46% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 57%