Final Score: Phillies 5 - Padres 2
Wednesday, September 17, 2014 at 10:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
69-82 Rating 1475
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.3
Padres
70-80 Rating 1477
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 253 203
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 151 150
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.2
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.6
Win percentage 46% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 58%