Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Blue Jays 3
Sunday, September 20, 2015 at 1:07 PM ET

Red Sox @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
70-77 Rating 1499
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.7
Blue Jays
85-63 Rating 1543
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
All-time wins 315 262
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.0 4.7
Last meeting 7 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
Games played 147 148
Avg runs scored 4.7 5.5
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.1
Win percentage 48% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 65%