Final Score: Pirates 5 - Reds 4
Wednesday, May 11, 2016 at 7:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
17-15 Rating 1547
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.8
Reds
14-19 Rating 1449
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Reds
All-time wins 307 359
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Reds
Games played 32 33
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.7 5.7
Win percentage 53% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 57%