Final Score: Yankees 5 - Red Sox 6
Saturday, September 17, 2016 at 1:05 PM ET

Yankees @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
77-70 Rating 1530
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.2
Red Sox
83-64 Rating 1530
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Red Sox
All-time wins 383 374
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 4.7
Last meeting 4 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Red Sox
Games played 147 147
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.6
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.4
Win percentage 52% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 58%