Final Score: Red Sox 6 - Astros 5
Sunday, June 18, 2017 at 8:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
38-30 Rating 1539
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.3
Astros
46-23 Rating 1545
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Astros
All-time wins 25 13
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.9 4.5
Last meeting 1 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Astros
Games played 68 69
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.9
Win percentage 56% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 61%