Final Score: Red Sox 8 - Blue Jays 7
Thursday, July 4, 2019 at 7:07 PM ET

Red Sox @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
45-41 Rating 1573
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.9
Blue Jays
33-54 Rating 1460
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
All-time wins 359 287
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.1 4.7
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
Games played 86 87
Avg runs scored 5.5 4.3
Avg runs conceded 5.0 5.2
Win percentage 52% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 39%