Final Score: Cubs 11 - Pirates 3
Thursday, July 4, 2019 at 4:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
45-42 Rating 1534
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.1
Pirates
42-43 Rating 1499
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Pirates
All-time wins 393 445
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Pirates
Games played 87 85
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.5 5.2
Win percentage 52% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 51%