Final Score: Astros 11 - Mariners 4
Wednesday, July 28, 2021 at 3:40 PM ET

Astros @ Mariners

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
62-40 Rating 1579
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.5
Mariners
55-47 Rating 1505
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Mariners
All-time wins 100 61
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.9 4.0
Last meeting 8 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Mariners
Games played 102 102
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.7
Win percentage 61% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 60%