Final Score: Phillies 2 - Marlins 3
Saturday, September 4, 2021 at 6:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
69-65 Rating 1498
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Marlins
56-79 Rating 1441
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 259 219
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.9 4.4
Last meeting 3 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 134 135
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.2
Win percentage 51% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 52%